October 2022 Contract Activity Has Dropped Significantly, Sort Of


October 2022 Contract Activity Has Dropped Significantly, Sort Of
By Scott Rogers • October 31, 2022
Has the local real estate market slowed down? Oh yes, quite a bit! How so? Last October 156 homes went under contract in the first 27 days of the month... and this year only 81 homes have gone under contract in that time frame. Wow. Quite a bit slower! Indeed. -- So, yes, contract activity this month is much lower than it was last year during October... but as the graph above reveals, there may be more to the story. First of all, the orange and green bars represent 2020 and 2021 and I think we'll eventually look back and conclude that they were abnormal years, with buying activity super-charge by a worldwide pandemic, as unexpected as that was. So, the bright orange and bright green bars that tower above the rest of the months on the chart might be outliers. Looking for a moment, then, just at the blue bars... This August (2022) we saw a 13% increase in August contracts compared to August 2019. This September (2022) we saw a 10% increase in September contracts compared to September 2019. And...in October... we are dragging ever so slightly behind October 2019, but things aren't looking overly different from where things were three years ago, just before Covid. -- So... is this October slower than last October when it comes to contracts being signed? Yes, absolutely! Much slower! Is this October slower than the last pre-Covid October we have seen in this market? It's slower, but just barely. Is the pace of home buying slowing down in Harrisonburg and Rockingham County? Yes, it seems so... but by how much depends on whether we compare the present times to Covid times or pre-Covid times. Receive Updates by Email Recent Articles: Will Your Offer Terms Cause The Seller To Say YES Or To Seek Other Offers? The Comfortable Feel Of An Established Neighborhood Might Come With, Surprise, An Older Home That Needs Some Updates Home Sellers And Buyers Will Often Disagree About Needed Updates You Cannot Hear Traffic On A Nearby Road By Looking At Photos Last Call (Just About) For Selling Your Home In 2024! Sometimes An Offer Is So Strong A Seller Will Not Wait For Other Imminent Offers If You Will Be Moving To Sunnyside, VMRC Or Bridgewater Retirement Community, We Should Talk Sooner Than Later Sometimes It Makes Sense To Just Adopt The Timetable The Seller Prefers Fewer And Fewer Resale, Detached, Homes Selling In City Of Harrisonburg The Next Owner Of Your Home Might Love Different Parts Of It For Different Reasons, And That Is OK!
Have any questions? Contact Scott Rogers at 540-578-0102 or scott@funkhousergroup.com
Based on information from the Harrisonburg-Rockingham Association of REALTORS® or its MLS, for the period Jan 1, 2000 through Oct 31, 2024 (unless otherwise noted).
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