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Zoning


The State Of The Massanutten Resort Real Estate Market
Yesterday's Daily News Record featured an article on the short term rental situation at Massanutten Resort.  The latest update is that:

"The Rockingham County Planning Commission is scheduled to continue a hearing it began in November about a zoning ordinance amendment, which, if approved by the Board of Supervisors, will allow the rentals and, in theory, end the debate."


It has been an interesting four years (wow --- four years) that this debate has been going on, and it made me stop to think about the state of the Massanutten Resort housing market.  Below is a brief summary of changes in that market over the past four years, within the context of the Harrisonburg and Rockingham County housing market as a whole.

Sales in Massanutten

As can be seen above, Massanutten has seen a steady decline in the number of home sales taking place in each of the past four years.  That said, the Harrisonburg and Rockingham County market have seen a very similar decline.  The only deviation here is that the Massanutten market continued to decline rather significantly (35% drop) between 2008 and 2009 while the rate of decline slowed down somewhat in the Harrisonburg and Rockingham County market as a whole (13% drop).

Prices in Massanutten

The graph above shows changes in the median sales price of homes in the Massanutten Resort market as compared to changes in median sales price for the market as a whole.  The difference is staggering!  Harrisonburg and Rockingham County have seen a median sales price decline of 3.4% over the past four years. During the same time period, Massanutten Resort has suffered a 16% decline in median sales price.

It's impossible to know how much of a correlation exists between the soft Massanutten Resort market and the short term rental issue, but I believe this issue has certainly played some role in the changes depicted above.


Also . . . enjoy the second edition of Harrisonburg Real Estate Radio:

Assessments via Harrisonburg Real Estate Radio  [11:55]


Other recent podcasts: Home Inspections
11 Comments so far . . .
Scott Rogers:
And . . . it's over! (I think). The Rockingham County Planning Commission has voted to allow short term rentals at Massanutten Resort. Update per WHSV
January 6, 2010 1:12 am

Scott Rogers:
The DNR article from today can be found here (PDF): Jan 6, 2010 article

I find it interesting that one resident states that property values decreased because of the short term rentals existing. My understanding is that short term rentals have been around for many years, and thus I'm more likely to believe that all of the hoopla about the short term rentals (lawsuits, etc) is what has caused property values to go down over the past three years.
January 6, 2010 3:21 am

Brooke:
I think it's also all the development of the resort. While one might think more amenities would mean more people would want to live there and take advantage of what they offer, I think it has also meant a lot more visitor traffic, and I think that has also lead to the decline in desirability. The more people are coming to the resort from outside, the less available the resort is to those who live there.

I also think the rise in gas prices over the past few years has also lead to the area's decline in desirability. When you have to drive 25 minutes to go anywhere, you might as well live in the country with some acreage instead of a crowded resort.

We put our house in Massanutten on the market in 2006 and it took about 10 months to sell it. I'm really glad we got out when we did. I can't imagine if we had been trying to sell in Masanutten instead of the Bridgewater area this last time around. We'd probably STILL be in Massanutten trying to sell our place, and probably would have made less than we did in 2006.
January 6, 2010 8:38 pm

Brooke:
More to the point, I certainly did not get the idea that values decreased because of the short term rentals, themselves. That's certainly not why we sold. It was more the other issues I stated - gas cost and traffic.
January 6, 2010 8:44 pm

Keston Fulcher:
Dear Scott,

Interesting article. Although the short term rental approval may bring in some investors to buy properties, it's unlikely to be the panacea that cures both the slow sales and the declining prices of homes. First, I assume, a much higher percentage of homes in Massanutten is vacation homes and investment properties. In times of financial stress owners are much more likely to bail on these houses versus their primary residences - hence, the high foreclosure rate in Massanutten versus other areas. Second, the slow economy that's causing folks to foreclose on homes also stresses discretionary spending. Therefore, I have a hard time beliieving a huge demand for short term rentals in Massanutten exists now (i.e., rental properties may not be such a great investment in Massanutten). From a long term perspective, there will be times when the economy is booming and Massanutten will likely benefit more than most of Rockingham County. Unfortunately, in the short term, the opposite effect is taking hold.
January 8, 2010 4:13 pm

Scott Rogers:
Brooke: I totally agree that gas costs and traffic have likely been a part of why there is less interest in buying at Massanutten as a primary resident. Thanks for sharing your perspective --- I think it is shared by others as well!

Keston: I don't think the short term rental approval will bring in any investors, necessarily, though it may make some second home buyers more apt to buy since they could rent the home out in their absence. Absent this decision, second home buyers would have to think twice about buying because of all of this controversy. That aside, I am in agreement that one significant reason that the Massanutten market has suffered is because of the higher percentage of potential buyers who would be buying a home in Massanutten as a second home or vacation home. Economic conditions of late has significantly shrunken this pool of vacation home purchasers!
January 9, 2010 3:26 am

Ryan:
The irony about all of this is that it is a totally manufactured news story. A judge issued a court order three years ago clarifying that short-term rentals were permitted under the existing zoning ordinance. Since that time, the County has fully recognized the right to rent a home on a short-term basis. Thus, there was absolutely no need for this proposed ordinance.

The story that is not being told is that opponents of short-term rentals just can't accept it. They have continued to complain and tell total falsehood, such as that short-term rentals bring in prostitution and crime. The fact is that short-term rental owners in Massanutten have been extremely responsible and have not had any of the problems that have been alleged. The fact that the County decided to take action here to affirm what is already permissible under court order, is that the County is sick and tired of the grumpy old people such as JC Powell and the Tranquills that continue to press their case with no basis. These people harrass the short-term rental owners by making false police reports on an almost daily basis. And they call county officials with false stories at all hours of the day and night. The County is sick of their harrassment. That is the real story behind this issue. I wish that the press could get it right,
January 10, 2010 12:38 am

Scott Rogers:
Ryan: Interesting perspective! I too have been puzzled by why this continues to be an issue when it seems like it should have been rather clear a few years ago. My guess is that the ordinance is to avoid any future time being spent on people complaining about whether short term rentals are allowed per the zoning ordinance. Now, the ordinance will state that they are.

I don't know much about JC Powell or the Tranquills, or what they may or may not have done to try to press on with this issue, but I imagine many/most Massanutten homeowners are glad this is finally finished and resolved. Or maybe many/most Massanutten homeowners haven't even been paying attention to this because it isn't as much of an issue as some would suggest that it is??
January 13, 2010 12:37 am

Carole Miller:
Scott,

Do you think the school redistricting from McGaheysvilles to Elkton had anything to do with
the declining real estate values in Massanutten? I believe that occurred around 2006.
January 24, 2010 7:27 pm

Scott Rogers:
Carole,

Wow --- interesting question! I suppose it could be related!! I will have to keep that thought in mind as I talk to people who have moved out of Massanutten lately. Have you heard that from anyone you know that moved out of that area?

Thanks,
Scott
January 24, 2010 9:13 pm

Jeff Green:
Scott, thanks for this housing market data. Your site is an excellent source of information. Keep it going.
February 3, 2010 12:59 pm

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How Much Undeveloped Land Is Left In Harrisonburg?
Harrisonburg Zoning

Using data provided by the City of Harrisonburg, the information below is what I am finding on vacant land in the City of Harrisonburg.  Bear in mind that there is a bit more vacant land than referenced below, but I chose to exclude land owned by educational institutions, local government, religious organizations, state government. 

Vacant Land In Harrisonburg:
  • 918 Residential Parcels (750 acres)
  • 135 Multi-Family Parcels (192 acres)
  • 216 Industrial Parcels (484 acres)
  • 183 Commercial Parcels (320 acres)
  • 14 Large Parcels (88 acres)
This is a total of 1,466 large parcels totaling 1,833 acres.
  • The 1,466 vacant parcels account for 10% of the 15,075 total city parcels.
  • The 1,833 acres account for 19% of the 9,655 total city acres.
Here is a visual to show the amount of vacant land remaining in the City of Harrisonburg:

Vacant City Land

Can A House In Harrisonburg Zoned R-1 Be Rented?
R-1 House in Harrisonburg

This is a relatively common question, that usually takes one of the following forms:
  • I own a house that is zoned R-1, am moving (into a different house, out of the area, etc) and want to know whether I can rent out the house instead of selling it.
  • My son/daughter attends JMU and I'd like to buy them a house to live in with their friends --- how about that single family home (zoned R-1) over there?
So, let's see what we find out examining the Harrisonburg Zoning Ordinance.  First, a summary of the R-1 zoning ordinance provides the following general guidance:

The R-1, Single-Family Residential District is intended for low-density, relatively spacious single-family residential development . . . Primary use is for single families, owner occupied dwellings can rent additional rooms, but not to more than two persons, as long as no new kitchen facilities are included. Non-owner occupied dwellings can rent to only one other person, as long as no new kitchen facilities are included. This district is the most restrictive zoning classification for occupancy.

To draw out a few points:
  1. "intended for low-density" - Homes zoned R-1 are in areas that are intended for low-density use.  Rental properties usually end up as medium to high density use (to achieve maximum cash flow) and thus are not at all the intent for R-1 zoned properties.
  2. "owner occupied dwellings can rent additional rooms, but not to more than two persons" - If the owner of the house lives in the home, they can have two additional people renting from them, but the home cannot have a second kitchen.
  3. "Non-owner occupied dwellings can rent to only one other person" - If the owner of the house does not live in the home, an individual or family may (the non-owner occupant/s) and one additional tenant can live in the home.
  4. "This district is the most restrictive zoning classification for occupancy" - In other words, if you're looking for a property with more flexible use, don't look at R-1 properties.
To get back to the original questions:
  • If you own an R-1 home and want to rent it instead of selling it, you can do it, but we'll assume that you aren't going to be living in it yourself.  That being the case, you can't rent it to any more than two people, unless it is a family and one additional tenant.
  • If you are a parent of a JMU student, and you own the house, your son/daughter could only have one additional roommate --- unless your son/daughter is on the deed, in which case I believe they would be an owner occupant and could have two additional people living in the house.
In addition to zoning summary, the entire Harrisonburg Zoning Ordinance (as of June 2009) is available online.  Or....for an official interpretation, you ought to call Harrisonburg's Department of Planning and Zoning at (540) 432-7700.

City of Harrisonburg Land Use Analysis
To better understand land use in our fine community, here is a basic breakdown of the 15,075 parcels of land in the City of Harrisonburg....

Zoning Distribution

Zoning Distribution (Parcels)
  • 84% of city land parcels are zoned for Residential Use
  • 10% of city land parcels are zoned for Business Use
  • 6% of city land parcels are zoned for Manufacturing Use
Zoning Distribution (Acreage)
  • 64% of city acreage is devoted to Residential zoning
  • 20% of city acreage is devoted to Manufacturing zoning
  • 16% of city acreage is devoted to Business zoning
Residential Density

Residential Density (Parcels)
  • 36% of residential city land parcels are zoned R1
  • 25% of residential city land parcels are zoned R2
  • 40% of residential city land parcels are zoned R3 or a higher density
Residential Density (Acreage)
  • 50% of residential city acreage is zoned R1
  • 15% of residential city acreage is zoned R2
  • 34% of residential city acreage is zoned R3 or a higher density
R1 use is typically single family homes, R2 is typically a duplex or two-family home use, and R3+ are primarily townhouses and apartments.


Harrisonburg Planning Commission -- Public Hearing
Don't miss the Harrisonburg Planning Commission public hearing meeting on Wednesday, March 12 at 7:00 p.m. in the City Council Chambers at 409 South Main Street.

As usual, it's not easy to tell what some of the proposals actually mean --- but I have included a summary and explanation of the ones that I can decipher, and I welcome anyone else's insight. Again, the information below is what I can piece together about the proposals from various sources. Attend the meeting to find out more about the proposals, or to voice your support or concerns.

1000 South High StreetRMC Corporation would like a special use permit for a recreation facility to allow recreation and leisure time activities at 1000 South High Street in Harrisonburg. The photo to the file photo in the Harrisonburg Real Estate Information System.
Heritage Estates
Heritage Estates is applying for a special use permit to allow a community building used for "recreational, social, educational and cultural activities." Perhaps they are building a community center?? Heritage Estates, pictured to the left, is located on Garbers Church Road.  Heritage Estates is also asking for a proffer amendment --- but the details here are a bit vague.
Muhlenberg Lutheran ChurchMuhlenberg Lutheran Church is requesting a rezoning of 1.63 acres (on East Market Street) from B-2 to B-1C. This would allow them to move forward with a $2.2 million addition of a "gathering area." The church had originally requested an exception to the B-2 zoning ordinance, but this was denied by the Harrisonburg Board of Zoning Appeals on February 4, 2008.
311 Federal Street
Hugo A. Kohl, III would like to rezone a rather small (3,000 +/- square foot) lot at 311 South Federal Street from B-2 to B-1C. Anyone have information on this one?
Campus View Condominiums
Campus View Condominiums is requesting a rezoning of around 14 acres from R-3 to R-5C. This change would allow for higher density development. Additionally, Campus View Condos is requesting a special use permit to allow for multi-family dwellings with more than 12 units per building.


Will Rockingham County Be Paved Over?
I have heard some people talk about development as if in the next few years, or decades, all of Rockingham County will be developed --- with the farm land destroyed, and our history no longer preserved.

Below I'll try to put that thought in the context of actual land use, but for the record --- I don't think many at today's Smart Growth Symposium thought that the above statement is true.  (Lest anyone conclude that I am referring to any of the attendees).

Rockingham County Land Use

The data above is extracted from the Rockingham County Comprehensive Plan, particularly page 18 of the section on Strategies, Policies and Actions.

Here's the full list of how Rockingham County land is being used:
  • Agriculture - 248,000 acres (46%)
  • Forest - 50,000 acres (9%)
  • Commercial - 4,000 acres (0.7%)
  • Industrial - 1,400 acres (0.3%)
  • Single Family Residential - 44,000 acres (8.2%)
  • Multi-family or Duplex - 175 acres (<0.1%)
  • Mobile Home Park - 1,100 acres (0.2%)
  • Federal Government - 178,000 acres (33%)
  • State Government - 500 acres (0.1%)
  • Local Government - 1,700 acres (0.3%)
  • Regional Government - 130 acres (<0.1%)
  • Charitable/Religious/Education - 2,300 acres (0.4%)
  • Other - 7,000 acres (1.8%)
As you can see --- much of Rockingham County will likely never be developed (33% is owned by the government) --- and we still have an extraordinary amount of undeveloped land.

Smart(er) Growth For Harrisonburg and Rockingham County?
Wow!  Today's Smart Growth Symposium, orchestrated by the Shenandoah Valley Builders Association was a fantastic primer on growth issues and how to plan for them in the central Shenandoah Valley. 

Stewart Schwartz, the Executive Director of the Coalition for Smarter Growth, provided a great overview of smart growth principles and policies that provided a helpful framework for thinking about and planning for the future of our area. 

One key point that he made, that stuck with me, was a need to focus on developing in the right place

Those present included conservationists, builders, farmers, real estate agents, bankers, local planning staff, elected officials, engaged citizens, and more.  There seemed to be a great desire for and capacity to consider working together for the best future for our valley, despite the varying perspectives each of us bring to the table.


Builders Association To Hold Smart Growth Symposium
The Shenandoah Valley Builders Association will hold a Smart Growth Symposium on Friday, February 22, with registration at 9:30 AM and finishing around 3:30 PM.  This event will be an opportunity for members of the community to come together to learn about issues related to growth from a variety of perspectives, and to participate in a public conversation on the future of the Shenandoah Valley.

The schedule of speakers and topics is as follows:

10:00 AM  -  Stewart Schwartz, Coalition for Smarter Growth
Addressing the topic, "The Smart Growth Option"

11:45 AM  -  Lunch served

12:30 PM  -  Question & Answer session for panel of guests:
2:00 PM  -  Todd Rhea, Clark & Bradshaw
Addressing the topic "What is a Comprehensive Plan?"

This should be an informative day with a variety of opinions and perspectives.  The cost is $10 per person and includes lunch, and the deadline to RSVP is by Wednesday, February 20.  Reservations and payment can be made online.

New Housing on Stone Spring Road - Changes in Zoning
Per the January 18th Daily News Record, the Harrisonburg Planning Commission recommended that City Council approve a rezoning request of 72.6 acres on Stone Spring Road.

Here are a few tidbits that might shed some light on the intricacies of this story:
  • First, the zoning request doesn't have a lot to do with whether or not the 1,000 residential units will be developed.  The current zoning of the property allows 1,054 residential units to be developed.  The request, per the Planning Commission agenda, was to change the zoning from R-3 to R-5C.

  • Harrisonburg recently made a change to R-3 zoning that affects a developer's right to build apartment buildings on land zoned R-3.  Building apartments on land that is zoned R-3 used to be a "by-right" use, but now (for developments post July 2010) a developer would need to obtain a special use permit for apartments. Since the referenced 72.6 acre property is currently zoned R-3, without a rezoning, if the developers wanted to build apartment buildings, they would have to either:
    • start building by 2010, or
    • apply for a special use permit

  • The above bullet point may explain why George Pace (vice mayor) is referenced as saying that "developing the site could create a short-term glut of college student housing in the city."  I think that he is inferring that the developers might opt to go ahead and start building if they can't get the re-zoning to make sure that they can build apartment buildings.

  • Of note, the developers pledged not to build more than 1,054 residential units --- the same amount that are permissible under the property's current zoning.  Again -- this re-zoning does not give the property owners the ability to build additional housing.  Even without the re-zoning, they can build the 1,054 units.

  • There is also mention in the DNR article that the developers might wait to develop the project until Stone Spring Road is widened.  This would be helpful, as the new housing would certainly add quite a bit of housing to that road.

  • The big question here is how the timing will end up working out on this project.  Many would assume (reasonably) that this re-zoning proposal suggests that the property will be developed soon.  My theory is that the owners want to go ahead and get it re-zoned to R-5 (possibly before lots of other property owners ask for the same), but that they will then hold onto the property for several years.

A Brief History of Harrisonburg's Annexations
Annexation is the process whereby land is incorporated into an existing town or city. 

There have been several annexations in Harrisonburg's history, bringing the current size of the city to 11,132 acres.  The largest annexation (7,450 acres) took place in 1983 --- shown in pink on the map below.  (Map courtesy of the City of Harrisonburg).

Harrisonburg Growth History

Title 15.2 (Counties, Cities and Towns) of the Code of Virginia outlines how annexations are to take place. 

Here are some recent annexation related news items:
Mount Crawford seeks to annex 243 acres to expand to 467 acres.
Dayton discusses annexing along Route 257.

Could Harrisonburg and Rockingham County see another annexation anytime soon?  According to Brian, Harrisonburg's Director of Economic Development says the city has no plans to annex any portion of Rockingham County (source: Daily News Record).

On a related note, according to Keith Markel, one of Harrisonburg's previous city planners, most of the zoning frustrations stem from the 1983 annexation.  Much of that land was zoned R-3, which allows anything from single family homes to apartment complexes.  However, this past year, the right to build apartment complexes in R-3 zoned land was removed.

Eastern Rockingham County Lot Sales - The Ups and Downs
Average Sales Price for Peak View LotsOver the past several years, prices of lots in eastern Rockingham County, particularly in the Peak View school district have increased dramatically.  However, in 2007, the average sales price dropped below the 2006 average sales price. 

2003:  $47,546  (81 sales)

2004:  $55,354  (112 sales)

2005:  $89,112  (98 sales)

2006:  $118,075  (51 sales)

2007:  $110,875  (35 sales)

As you can above, during this same time, demand for lots decreased rather significantly.  This was compounded by the fact that the inventory of available lots increased during the same time --- there are currently 109 lots available in the Peak View school district, as follows:

SubdivisionLots for Sale
Average List Price
Barrington3
$112,433
Battlefield Estates
3
$89,500
Bridlewood
2
$106,200
Crossroads Farms
22
$130,482
Givenchy Commons
10
$129,900
Great Oaks
1
$99,900
Highland Park
2
$118,700
Lakewood
1
$109,900
Magnolia Ridge
65
$117,888


Short-Term Rentals in Massanutten
Massanutten Zoning DebateWe've seen it in the news for almost a year and half now --- a group of homeowners in Massanutten Village are suing other such property owners because of the use of homes in their community as short-term (or vacation) rentals.  This seems to most commonly understood as rental periods of less than 30 days.

The latest --- instead of just suing two families for their rental transgressions, the plaintiffs are now suing 28 property owners

The entire debate on this issue seems to be over interpretation of the Massanutten Village covenants and restrictions.  Those being sued point out that these covenants don't explicitly prohibit short term rentals.  Those doing the suing characterize short term rentals as a business use, which is prohibited per the covenants.

The blow by blow:
  • Zoning complaint filed against three property owners.
  • County rules against three property owners.
  • Three property owners appeal to Board of Zoning Appeals.
  • Board of Zoning Appeals rules against three property owners.
  • Three property owners appeal to Rockingham County Circuit Court.
  • Rockingham County drops out of case based on Virginia Supreme Court ruling on Smith Mountain Lake vacation rentals.
  • Lawsuit filed against 28 property owners.
For more on this controversial topic, keep reading the Daily News Record, keep reading my blog, or check out this very informative web site maintained by one of the plaintiffs, Gene Hauze.


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