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Harrisonburg Considers An Additional Increase In The Real Estate Tax Rate |
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 It's that time of year again... the City of Harrisonburg must decide how much money it can, will or must spend... and where that money will come from. City Council met last week and began to discuss a draft budget for Fiscal Year 2023-2024 presented by City staff. You can read more about the meeting and discussion here. You can view the draft budget here. In summary... the City is planning on a budget of around $362M in FY24, which is about a $27M increase from FY23. Where does all of that money come from? A variety of sources, including these top four funding sources... 34% from real estate taxes 11% from personal property taxes 11% from sales taxes 11% from restaurant food taxes The amount of real estate taxes collected (to fund the budget) depends on... [1] the value of real estate in the City [2] the real estate tax rate The planned budget includes (as shown on the graph above) a $0.03 increase in the real estate tax rate, from $0.93 to $0.96. What impact will this 3% increase in the real estate rate have on owners of real estate in the City of Harrisonburg? The median sales price of homes sold in the City of Harrisonburg over the past year was $255,000. Real estate taxes with a tax rate of $0.93 on this $255K home would cost a homeowner $2,371.50 per year. Real estate taxes with a tax rate of $0.96 on this $255K home would cost a homeowner $2,448.00 per year. So... a $76.50 increase per year... or about $6.38 per month. Two important notes related to these calculations... [1] The $255K figure of the median sales price is not necessarily perfectly aligned with the median tax assessed value of all residential properties in the City. The $255K figure is based on their sales prices... not the assessed values... and just of the homes that have sold... not all homes that exist. [2] The median sales price has increased 12% in the City of Harrisonburg over the past 12 months. This may mean that assessed values will rise when properties are next assessed by the City, which would result in a further actual increase in real estate taxes based on new assessed values. Finally, two other general notes... [1] For anyone wondering what the City spends $362M on in a year, the "Budget in Brief" document found on this page is a very helpful summary of the City budget. [2] From the article on The Citizen linked above (and here)... "This tax increase is a continuation of the city’s plan to raise that tax by 10 cents over three years to pay for the new Rocktown High School, which is expected to cost about $100 million." | |
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Harrisonburg Planning Commission To Consider 897 Unit Bluestone Town Center Proposal To Include 415 Apartments, 349 Townhomes, 133 Detached Homes |
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 The City of Harrisonburg Planning Commission will hold a public hearing tomorrow, Tuesday, January 17th as they consider a proposal called Bluestone Town Center which would include 897 residences on 90 acres.  In addition to 415 apartments, 349 townhomes and 133 detached homes, the master plan also proposes a community center, playground and retail shops. You can explore the proposed development further on the website put together by those seeking the rezoning... You can download the Planning Commission agenda here which includes links to all of the supporting documents for this rezoning application. It is likely to be a lively public hearing as there seem to be plenty of folks both supporting and opposing this proposal. Change.org Petition #1... Change.org Petition #2... Here are some other my thoughts and observations...
As details of this proposal have become increasingly available over the past few months... [1] I have had many conversations with people who are strongly in support of BTC because they want more affordable housing options to exist in the City. [2] I have had many conversations with people who are strong opposed to BTC because they are concerned about (among other things) what they see as a likely increase in City taxes to pay for the impact of this development. From here, the Planning Commission will review the proposal and make a recommendation to City Council... and then City Council will decide whether to approve this development in the City. The final decision by City Council (to approve or deny) will be a big decision that (regardless of the decision) will affect the future of the City for decades to come. | |
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376 Apartments In Three Buildings, With Clubhouse, Pool and Parking Deck Proposed For Peach Grove Avenue |
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 Lingerfelt Development, LLC is requesting a special use permit from the City of Harrisonburg to allow for the development of a 376 unit apartment complex on Peach Grove Avenue on a 9.9 acre parcel of land between The Hills (Southview) Apartments and the proposed 460 bedroom student housing complex, Peach Grove Shoppes. This new proposal for 376 apartments would include... [1] A minimum of 30% studio or one bedroom apartments [2] A maximum of 20% of three bedroom apartments [3] No apartments with more than three bedrooms Here's the proposed layout of the development...  The land for this proposed development is currently owned by the James Madison University Real Estate Foundation. Here's the location of the proposed development...  Read up on all of the details of this proposed development in the special use permit application packet here. 12/14/2022 - tabled by Planning Commission
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53 Townhomes Proposed Near Intersection Of East Market Street, Stone Spring Road |
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 A 53 unit townhome development is being proposed directly on East Market Street, just prior to the 7-11 gas station at the corner of East Market Street and Stone Spring Road when heading east. This residential development would be built on 4.43 acres that is currently zoned A-2 (general agriculture) and a rezoning is being proposed to allow for the residential development. Here's the proposed layout...  Rockingham County staff has some reservations about this proposed layout of this development because the development utilizes private streets (instead of public roads) and thus would not allow for connectivity between existing public roads and potential future public roads to be built on adjacent parcels. More specifically, from the County... "Privately maintained streets are an unreliable means of serving the long-term, publicly accessed street network that will be needed to serve all the land south and west of this site." Furthermore, the proposed layout (T turnaround) does not meet the requirements of the Rockingham County Fire Prevention Code. The Rockingham County Planning Commission considered this request on Tuesday, December 6th and tabled the proposal. Download the full rezoning application packet here. | |
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University Boulevard To Be Realigned In Forest Hills Area |
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 The (winding) section of University Boulevard between the Convocation Center parking lot and the intersection of Forest Hills Road and Oak Hill Drive will be realigned and widened to include both a roadway, shared-use path and sidewalk... but, likely not until 2025. Who will pay for this transportation transformation? The project is estimated to cost about $10.4 million and these costs will be paid as follows...
View a larger version of the map above here. Learn all about this realignment project on the City website here, or via this recent Daily News Record article. | |
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Updates On Proposed Residential Developments In Rockingham County |
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 BOYERS CROSSING September 2022 - Approved by Rockingham County Board of Supervisors ZEPHYR HILL September 2022 - Approved by Rockingham County Board of Supervisors THE GLEN AT COOKS CREEK August 2022 - Approved by Bridgewater Town Council AND MORE Find out about the many new developments and proposed developments here at HarrisonburgNewHomes.com. | |
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Help Shape The Future Of Rockingham County! |
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 Rockingham County is revising and updating its Comprehensive Plan, which is a document that sets the vision and goals for the next 10 to 20 years! The last review was approved by the Board of Supervisors on September 23, 2015. The Comprehensive Plan addresses topics such as:
The policies defined in the plan will guide the County's future direction and priorities for growth, services, and land use regulation. And... YOU... can have a voice in the updated Comprehensive Plan! Take a few minutes to complete the Public Input Survey by clicking here. Find out more about the Comprehensive Plan update here. | |
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Harrisonburg to Purchase Shenandoah Presbytery Property For Use As Homeless Shelter |
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 The City of Harrisonburg has contracted to purchase a 6,000+ SF building on the north end of town that used to house the Shenandoah Presbytery. The building is situated on a 3.68 acre parcel just shy of Vine Street and Mt Clinton Pike if you were driving north on Route 11 from downtown Harrisonburg. The City will purchase the property with $700K from the American Rescue Plan Act and the shelter will be operated Open Doors. Read more about this purchase at The Citizen... | |
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Almost 1,700 New Homes (or home sites) Are Being Developed or Built in Harrisonburg and Rockingham County With Another 4,000 Planned or Proposed |
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 LOTS of new housing is currently being developed in Harrisonburg and Rockingham County... though mostly in Rockingham County. Below are most that I am aware of, with approximate unit counts, though you can find it in spreadsheet form, with some links, here. 369 Apartments
647 Townhouses & Duplexes
287 Single Family Detached Homes or Home Sites
This is not to mention the 4,314 homes that are being planned or proposed...
The important, and perhaps unanswerable, big questions are... [1] Is enough housing being built or planned to support a growing population? [2] Is too much housing being built or planned beyond what our growing population needs? [3] Is the right type, size, and price of housing being built? | |
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800 Mixed Income Housing Units Planned For Bluestone Town Center |
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 800 (or more) new housing units may soon be coming to Garbers Church Road and Erickson Avenue... at Bluestone Town Center... potentially featuring...
This is a potential joint venture between the Harrisonburg Redevelopment and Housing Authority (not the City of Harrisonburg, but a "political subdivision of Virginia") and Equity Plus (a private entity seemingly out of Mississippi). This potential residential development is intended to offer...
Find out more about this potential development by visiting BluestoneTownCenter.com or by attending the informational session on June 7th (today) from 4:00 PM to 6:00 PM at the Lucy Simms Auditorium. Updated... Daily News Record, June 8, 2022
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Comparing Tax Bills in the City of Harrisonburg and Rockingham County Over Time |
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 If you're buying a $300K house, will you pay more in property taxes if that house is in the City or the County? In most cases, you will pay more property taxes if you live in the City. The analysis above looks at how a monthly property tax bill has changed over the past decade for a median priced home in the City and County. To be clear, this analysis uses:
As shown above, City property taxes have increased by 155% over the past decade while County property taxes have increased by 70% during the same timeframe. | |
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Real Estate Tax Rates Moving Up and Down |
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 Rockingham County - tax rate down 8% The Rockingham County real estate tax rate is currently $0.74 per $100 of asssessed value, but the Board of Supervisors just approved a reduction in the tax rate to $0.68 per $100 of assessed value. But... that is in the context of recently updated tax assessed value for all properties in Rockingham County, most of which increased significantly because the last reassessment took place four years ago before significant shifts in market values in this area. As a result, most Rockingham County property owners will see an increase in their tax bill despite the reduction in the tax rate. City of Harrisonburg - tax rate up 3% (pending approval) The Harrisonburg City Council will soon consider increasing the tax rate from $0.90 per $100 of assessed value to $0.93 per $100 of assessed value. The City of Harrisonburg updates their assessed values every year, so while many or most property owners recently received notice of the updated assessed value of their property, those values likely did not increase as drastically as assessed values did in Rockingham County. As a result, almost all City of Harrisonburg property owners will see an increase in their tax bill because though small increases, their assessed value and tax rate are both likely to have gone up or to go up. | |
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Harrisonburg Redevelopment and Housing Authority in Planning Stages of a 1,000 Unit Housing Development Across From Harrisonburg High School |
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 Specific details are still relatively limited, but the Harrisonburg Redevelopment and Housing Authority is planning a LARGE development on land that stretches from Erickson Avenue to Garbers Church Road. Here are some of the details that have been made public thus far...
More details here. Stay tuned for more details as they are made public. | |
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Real Estate Assessments On The Rise, Big Time, In Rockingham County |
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 If you own a property in Rockingham County you likely received a notice in the past week or so that your property has a new tax assessed value! I have heard from quite a few folks who are very surprised by the large increase in the assessed value of their property -- and the corresponding increase in their tax bill. Some property owners seem to have seen a 20%, 25%, 30% or an even larger increase in the assessed value of their property and their tax bills. A few important notes... Rockingham County reassesses real estate every four years. Even though it might seem like this increase in the assessment of your property is a one year change, from 2021 to 2022, it's really not. The last time your property was reassessed was back in 2018. Thus, this increased assessment is based on how the value of your property has changed over the past *four* years. The 2018 assessment would have been largely based on 2017 sales data and the median sales price (per the HRAR MLS) of detached homes in Rockingham County during 2017 was $220,000. The median sales price of detached homes in 2021 was $288,000. That change from $220K to $288K is a... 31% increase in the median sales price of detached homes in Rockingham County. That's some very rough math - but it would seem that many property values have likely increased 30% (or slightly more or slightly less) over the past four years. As such, it makes sense that assessed values would also have increased by a similar amount between four years ago and today. Finally, don't panic (yet) thinking that your tax bill will increase 25% or 30% this year. It might, but it seems likely it will not. The potential tax bill shown on your notice of a new assessed value is showing you what your tax bill would be with your new assessed value and the current tax rate. But... the County has not yet set the tax rate. Will the County keep the same tax rate, leading to you having to pay as much in property taxes as shown on your notice of your new assessed value? Let's see what would happen if they did keep the same tax rate... Per the "Budget in Brief" for 2021-2022 for Rockingham County (here) it seems that the revenue for property taxes in the budget was $101,297,000. Yes, that is 101 million dollars. Working backwards, given the current tax rate of $0.74 per $100 of assessed value, that means that all of the real estate that was taxed had an approximate combined value of $13,688,783,783. Yes, that is almost 14 billion dollars. So, let's say the 14 billion dollars (approx) of real estate increased in value by 25% given the new assessments. I rounded down a bit from the 31% referenced above. That means the combined taxable properties may very well be worth $17,110,979,730 today -- yes, a bit over 17 billion dollars. Stick with me here -- if the tax rate ($0.74 per $100 of assessed value) remains the same in 2022 it would potentially generate tax revenue of $126,621,250. This would be over 25 million dollars more tax revenue for the 2022-23 budget than existed in the 2021-2022 budget. So, will your property tax bill increase by as much as is shown on the notice of your updated real estate assessment? Maybe -- if the County needs an additional 25 million dollars of revenue to balance their budget. :-) Is that likely? It doesn't seem like it to me. While expenses may be increasing, I doubt there are 25 million dollars (a year) of new expenses that would require that much additional tax revenue. So, in summary, for Rockingham County property owners... 1. The change in your assessment really marks the change in your property value over four years -- not over one year. 2. Real estate values in Rockingham County (per sales prices) seem to have increased by about 30% over the past four years. 3. The actual amount of your property tax bill won't be known until the County sets the tax rate as a part of the budget process. Questions? Feel free to ask me... or call the Rockingham County Reassessment Office at 540-564-5079. :-) | |
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Median Residential Harrisonburg Real Estate Assessment Increases 10.5% In 2022 |
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 If you own a property in the City of Harrisonburg you likely recently received a "Change of Assessment Notice" in the mail. Harrisonburg updates the assessed value of every parcel of real estate every year... and some years (like this year) the assessed values increase quite a bit! The sample change in assessment notice above, for a townhouse in the City of Harrisonburg, shows the following assessed values...
You might also note that the tax rate changed a bit over time...
The increased assessed value, combined with the increase in tax rate results in the following increase in annual taxes...
In speaking with Lisa Neunlist, the real estate director for the City of Harrisonburg, she shared that there has been a 10.5% increase in the median assessed value of the approximately 9,600 residential properties (single family, townhomes, duplexes, condos that are not primarily students) in the City of Harrisonburg. Should this increase in assessed values surprise us? Probably not. The median sales price in our local area (City+County) has increased 12% over the past year. As such, a 10.5% increase in the median assessed value is not shocking. It will be interesting to see whether the tax rate is changed at all for 2022. The tax rate increased 4.6% (from $0.86 to $0.90) between 2020 and 2021 -- at least in part to help pay for building a second high school in the City of Harrisonburg -- though there was discussion of a possible need to increase that rate even further in 2022. Perhaps the increase in tax assessed values of properties in the City of Harrisonburg will provide enough additional tax revenue that the tax rate will not need to increase further at this time? Of note -- for the sample property I referenced above, if the tax rate remains at $0.90 in 2022 the annual taxes will increase by $176, which is a $15 per month increase. | |
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265 (More) Apartments Planned For Stone Spring Road |
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 Harman Realty and Stone Spring Holdings LLC are proposing to build 265 apartments in a development to be called EPOCH on Stone Spring Road, between The Overlook at Stone Spring and Squire Hill Apartments. These apartments would be built on the 17 acres shown above. The proposed site plan references cottages, townhouses and apartments -- but they all seem to be multiple dwelling units per building, so they might all feel like apartments? City staff recommends approval of this proposal, as does the Planning Commission. City Council will have the final say on the matter in the near future.  | |
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Does An Increase In The Real Estate Tax Rate Directly and Significantly Affect Housing Affordability? |
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 The City of Harrisonburg recently increased the real estate tax rate from $0.86 per $100 of assessed value to $0.90 per $100 of assessed value. Does this affect housing affordability for home buyers and homeowners? I tried to say "yes and no" for this question -- but it's somewhat difficult to say that the increase in the real estate tax rate (alone) has a meaningful increase on housing affordability. Technically, yes, the increased tax rate does increase the cost of owning a home -- but not by much... For a property assessed at $250,000...
So, for the house assessed for $250,000 -- the monthly payment would increase by $9 per month based on this change in tax rates. So, certainly an increase in monthly housing costs, but not much of one. To put this change in monthly housing cost in context... If a homeowner had financed 90% of their purchase price of $250K at 3.5%, their mortgage payment would likely be right around $1,243 before the change in tax rate -- and right around $1,251 after the increase in real estate taxes. So, this change in tax rates increases their monthly payment by less than 1%. Am I saying that the City of Harrisonburg can just keep on raising the real estate tax rate forever without any impact on housing affordability? No. But it's hard to argue that this increase in the real estate tax rate, on its own, dramatically changes the financial picture for many or most homeowners. Now, I'll pivot a bit to a few other common talking points related to real estate taxes... Increased Tax Rates + Increased Assessed Values If we look at both at the increase in property values AND the increase in the real estate tax rate, then yes, the change in one's real estate tax bill is more significant. That said, the assessed values of real estate do not (at least right now) seem to be increasing as quickly as sales prices are in the current real estate market. While the median sales price has increased by about 10% over the past year, this year's property value assessments increased a net of 2.9%. As such, we shouldn't hastily calculate the increase in a tax bill using the increase in our local median sales price to show a large increase in real estate taxes, because market values are currently escalating much more quickly than tax assessed values. Tax Rate Increases + Income Changes A somewhat common refrain is to say "real estate tax rates increased by __% over such and such timeframe -- but my income didn't increase by that much during that timeframe!" This argument doesn't make a lot of sense to me. Let's make it as extreme of a point to point comparison as possible. The real estate tax rate was $0.59 ten years ago and is now $0.90. That is a 53% increase over a ten year period. So, per the argument above, I'd need a 53% increase in my income during the same time period in order to afford those higher real estate taxes, right? Well, probably not. :-) I'm going to use very rough, inaccurate numbers here, but let's pretend Fred owned a home assessed for $150K ten years ago and today it is assessed at $250K. His annual tax bill would have been $885 a decade ago at that $0.59 tax rate and that would have increased to an annual tax bill of $2,250. That's quite an increase! In fact, it's a $1,400 increase in annual real estate taxes over ten years. So, per the prior argument, he probably needs to have seen a 53% increase in his income because the real estate tax rate increased 53% over a decade, right? Well, maybe not. If Fred was earning $35,000 a decade ago, a 53% increase over the past ten years would mean that he would be earning $53,000 today. If you made it through all of my ramblings, thanks for reading and engaging on this topic. Do I think higher taxes are OK or good or great? No. I would love for everybody to pay the same or lower taxes forever and ever. Do increases in the local real estate tax rate directly and significantly affect housing affordability? In the short term it's very hard to say "yes" to this ($9/year) based on the information above. Over the mid to long term, certainly, this does have a cumulative impact - but I believe we should be precise with our language. Do you agree or disagree or have another counterpoint? Email me at scott@hhtdy.com. | |
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Scott Rogers
Funkhouser Real
Estate Group
540-578-0102
scott@funkhousergroup.com
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