Take a look at home sales activity summarized by Quarter . . .



As you may notice, we've seen a steady decline in the number of residential sales in Harrisonburg and Rockingham County since 2005 . . . until the fourth quarter of 2009.  Look again . . .



Please note, first, that the final fourth quarter 2009 sales figure is extrapolated based on data available as of November 30, 2009.  So, my data could be wrong --- but I recently made some wild guesses about November 2009 sales (first I guessed 65, then I guessed 76) and they were both too low (the final figure was 82)!

If we do see an year to year increase when comparing 2008-Q4 versus 2009-Q4, I think we can get excited about 2010 being the year when home sales finally started increasing again in Harrisonburg and Rockingham County.  That being said, I will still allow for skeptics to blame it on the tax credit, or for other factors in the current market.  Any skeptics out there?