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Get Ready: Lots Of Homes Will Be Coming On The Market Soon, Soon, Soon

Or will they??

It's interesting, because most people assume that a LOT of sellers will be putting their homes on the market as we move into the spring and summer months.  That is to some extent true --- look at the last two years of inventory levels (below) and you'll note that there are certainly more homes on the market between April and September than any other time of the year.

Inventory Trends

But wait --- the variation isn't actually very significant.  The low inventory level has hovered around 800 for the past year, and the high around 940.  While the spring/summer inventory levels are 17.5% higher than the fall/winter levels, here's how it translates into a buyer's perspective:
  • If there were 8 homes that were of potential interest in December, there will likely only be 9 (or maybe 10) of interest in June.
  • If there were 16 homes that were of potential interest in December, there will likely only be 19 of interest in June.
The main take-away here is that buyers ought not hold out for those prime spring and summer months thinking they'll have extraordinarily more options than exist today (or yesterday) in the market.

Furthermore, sellers ought not be overly concerned that they'll have dramatically more competition in the spring/summer months because of sky high inventory levels.
 

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