Scott P. Rogers
Funkhouser Real Estate Group
540-578-0102  •  email
Brought to you by Scott P. Rogers, Funkhouser Real Estate Group, 540-578-0102, scott@HarrisonburgHousingToday.com
Brought to you by Scott P. Rogers, Funkhouser Real Estate Group, 540-578-0102, scott@HarrisonburgHousingToday.com
Thursday, August 10, 2023
Wait!? What!?
Current mortgage interest rates for a 30 year fixed rate mortgage are averaging at 6.9% per Freddie Mac.

Here are the two startling statistics as reported by Business Wire as well as by many others over the past few months...

[1]  82% of homeowners have a mortgage interest rate below 5%.

An enormous share of homeowners have super low mortgage interest rates on their homes because they bought their home between 2020 and 2022 when we were seeing ridiculously low, historically low, mortgage interest rates -- or they refinanced their mortgage during that time. 
Most of these 82% of homeowners with a mortgage interest rate below 5% are rather unlikely to sell their home (and pay that off) and buy a new home at current mortgage interest rates that are near 7%.
[2]  60% of homeowners with mortgages have lived there for four years or less.

We saw record numbers of home sales between 2020 and 2022, as the Covid-19 pandemic (and super low mortgage interest rates) prompted lots of folks to buy a home. 
Many homeowners eventually find that their home doesn't work as well for them -- based on size, layout, features, etc. -- but that doesn't usually happen within four years.  As such, many or most of these 60% of homeowners who have been in their homes for less than four years are not likely to be selling anytime soon.
What does all of this mean for our real estate market?

We are likely to continue to see low numbers of resale homes coming on the market over the next few years as more homeowners opt to stay put rather than selling their home that likely has a super low mortgage interest rate - and that likely is a home they purchased in the past few years.