I work out at
OrangeTheory, which involves high intensity group fitness classes. Sometimes when running on the treadmills the workout will involve continually increasing the incline - from 1% to 2% to 5% to 10%, sometimes all the way up to 15%, climbing an increasingly steep hill. Oh joy!?! Then, as we start lowering that incline -- from 15% to 12% to 10% to 5% and so on -- we start coming back down that hill...
...but wait. Really? No! We're not coming down a hill when we're running at a 5% or 10% incline!? We're still running up a hill! The hill might not be as steep of an incline as when it was 12% or 15% -- but it is still a hill. Just ask my fatigued legs if they feel like they are running downhill at that point!?
That is also what we may very well see in our local housing market in coming months or years. We are currently seeing a 10% year over year increase in the median sales price. Will that last forever? Likely not. But if the market slows down -- will we see prices decline? Likely not. The market "slowing" will likely mean that the increases will be less steep -- just like on the treadmill. We may see a 3% to 5% increase in the median sales price, instead of a 10% increase.
So, if you are waiting to buy a home until the "market slows down" you might keep in mind that a slower market won't necessarily mean lower home prices.