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Renting or Buying A Home Within A 5 Year Time Horizon

Renting vs Buying
If you will only be in your next home for two (or 1, 3, 4 or 5) years -- should you buy that home?  Or just rent a home instead?

Let's take a look, assuming a price point in the current market of around $175K - which is likely to be a townhouse and might be what you are considering as a first time buyer...

Buying vs Renting
As becomes pretty quickly, above, it doesn't necessarily make much sense to buy if you are only going to be in your home for 1 or 2 years -- and once you get to a time horizon of 4 or more years, it almost certainly makes sense to buy a home.

For clarity, let's look at how I'm determining the cost of renting and buying this fictional house...

The Total Cost of Renting Includes...
Monthly rental rate  x  12  x   # years
Yep, that's it

The Total Cost of Buying Includes...
Monthly mortgage payment  x  12  x  # years
  + closing closing costs when buying your home  (3.5%)
  + cost of selling your home  (5% + $1K)
  + potential maintenance costs  (1% / y)
  - appreciation of your home's value  (2% / y)
  - potential tax benefits of interest paid   (int x 40% x 25%)

As you can see, I am intending for this to be a full accounting of the total costs of home ownership -- not just comparing the rental payment to the mortgage payment.

Here's a visual (click for a closer look) as to how those numbers line up over a one through five year time horizon...

Buying vs Renting
I should also note that it is quite possible to be "just fine" from a financial perspective if you buy and only end up being in the home for a year or two if...
  • your home's value goes up much more than expected during that time frame
     
  • you have little to no maintenance costs during the time that you own the property
     
  • you decide to keep the property as a rental property and thus do not need to factor in the cost of selling the home
As you are thinking through whether you should buy or rent -- at a $175K price point or otherwise -- feel free to touch base with me and I can give you some feedback and advice based on your overall circumstances.
 

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