Scott P. Rogers
Funkhouser Real Estate Group
540-578-0102  •  email
Brought to you by Scott P. Rogers, Funkhouser Real Estate Group, 540-578-0102, scott@HarrisonburgHousingToday.com
Brought to you by Scott P. Rogers, Funkhouser Real Estate Group, 540-578-0102, scott@HarrisonburgHousingToday.com
Monday, October 8, 2018
Monthly Market Report
Before we dive into this month's market report, check out this featured home in Stone Spring Village by visiting 1520AppleRidgeCourt.com.

Now, on to our local real estate market -- I just published my most recent monthly market report, and as usual, you can read on for an overview, download the full report as a PDF or tune in to my monthly video overview of our local housing market...

VIDEO OVERVIEW:  Click here to watch (and listen) to my overview of the market.
Now, let's take a look at some the trends we're currently seeing in our local housing market...

Monthly Market Report
As shown above...
  1. Home sales fell 6.67% in September as compared to last September -- and were even lower than the September before that.
     
  2. Year-to-date home sales are still 3.75% higher than they were last year at this time.
     
  3. The year-to-date median sales price has risen 8.42% over the past year to $212,500.
     
  4. Homes are selling 34% faster this year than last -- with a median days on market of 21 days.
Monthly Market Report

Looking backwards a bit -- the crazy months of sales we saw in June and July of this year were a bit unusual -- way out of the norm.  The slower months of sales seen in August and September were much more "normal" -- even if a bit slower than usual.

Monthly Market Report
Two years ago was a rock star of a year of real estate sales.  After only 1,125 home sales in 2015 -- the local market saw a huge increase to 1,313 home sales in 2016.  And then -- 2017 -- darn, we slipped a bit.  It's hard to say at this point where 2018 will fit into the mix.  I am guessing we'll beat last year's 1,261 home sales -- but probably won't make it all the way up to 2016 levels.

Monthly Market Report
So -- as shown above with a green line -- sales prices have sort of been escalating a bit lately.  Less than a year ago we had just cleared a $200K median sales price -- and now we're way up to $212K.  Hmmm -- doesn't seem sustainable.  What gives?  Read on.

Monthly Market Report
If we dial it back a bit and just look at single family homes (not duplexes, condos, townhouses -- all of which are prime real estate investor targets) we see a much (!!) more modest increase in the median sales price.  An increase from $225K to $229K over a one year period seems to be a much more reasonable increase in the local median sales price -- and one that seems like it could be sustainable.  This calms my nerves a bit after having seen that sharp rise in the overall median sales price.

Monthly Market Report
So -- how's the market, you might ask?  Pretty balanced?  Not at all!  There are a steady flow of buyers in the local market -- and an ever smaller group of sellers.  We desperately need some new sellers in the market -- preferably who aren't also buying -- which often will mean we need to see some new construction.

Monthly Market Report
Looking ahead, we might see a bit of a pop in October home sales after all!  September contracts were strong -- and markedly higher than last September.  In fact, contracts over the past year (1316) were a good bit higher than the previous 12 months (1256).  October sales figures might look better than expected!
Monthly Market Report
And here is that inventory issue - visualized slightly differently.  Today's buyers have 18% fewer choices as compared to a year ago -- and 39% fewer choices as compared to two years ago!  What is a buyer to do these days? 
I'll pause there, for now.  As usual, you can download the full report as a PDF, or tune in to my monthly video overview of our local housing market

And a few tips for anyone thinking of buying or selling soon --

SELLERS -- even though it is a seller's market in many price ranges right now, you must still focus on price, condition and marketing.

BUYERS -- it can be difficult and frustrating to buy right now -- make it a bit easier for yourself by knowing the market, knowing the process, knowing your buying power, and closely monitoring new listings!

For further reading on buying or selling in this area, check out....

And if YOU are ready to get the process started, simply contact me at 540-578-0102 or scott@HarrisonburgHousingToday.com.