Scott P. Rogers
Funkhouser Real Estate Group
540-578-0102  •  email
Brought to you by Scott P. Rogers, Funkhouser Real Estate Group, 540-578-0102, scott@HarrisonburgHousingToday.com
Brought to you by Scott P. Rogers, Funkhouser Real Estate Group, 540-578-0102, scott@HarrisonburgHousingToday.com
Tuesday, June 23, 2015
Storyline #1

The story illustrated above (lot prices plummeted 50% and have never recovered) is the one I've been running with over the past few years.  It takes the $100K lot value as the "new norm" and then looks at all values after that point ($55K-ish for years and years) as depressingly low.

Perhaps that's not the correct storyline.  What if this is really the story....

Storyline #2

Perhaps the story to be told is that lot values steadily increased between 2000 and 2005 (from $26K to $55K), then had an abnormal, unnatural, unsustainable spike (to $99K) before settling back down to the then continued norm of $55K-ish. 

If this, is, the more important story to be embracing, then we need not be quite as depressed.  Other than a brief two year wild party (for sellers of building lots) the median sales price of these lots has been around $55K for the past decade....