January Inventory vs. Past Year of Home Sales

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January Inventory vs. Past Year of Home Sales
By Scott Rogers • January 24, 2018 Filed In: analysis, inventory, market
In 2014, 2015 and 2016 we started off the year with enough homes actively listed for sale to last us for right around six months -- or a bit longer. This balance (a six month supply of housing inventory) is considered by many analysts to be an indicator of a balanced housing market. Last year (2017) was quite different. Inventory dropped 26% from 2016 to 2017 and sales rose 17%. As you would, thus, expect - we started off last year (Jan 2017) in a slightly different spot, as shown above. Which is, arguably, why we ended up seeing slightly FEWER home sales last year -- sales declined 4% in 2017 from 1309 to 1254. So, now, starting of 2018 -- are things any better? No. There are even FEWER homes for sale now than there were a year ago. Inventory levels dropped another 32% between January 2017 and January 2018 -- and the current inventory of active listings (280 homes) will / would only last us 2.7 months -- as compared to that balance point of six months. So, what then will this lead to in 2018? I am predicting slightly fewer sales than last year -- and likely faster sales -- and at slightly higher prices. Stay tuned! Receive updates from HarrisonburgHousingToday.com via e-mail: Enter your e-mail address: Recent Articles: When Should I Start Looking For A Home To Buy If My Lease Ends This Summer? Office Building, 77 Apartments and 93,600 SF of Storage Units Proposed Amidst Residential Developments, Church, Rescue Squad and Hospital in Rockingham County There Are Usually Two Phases Of Looking For A Home January Housing Inventory Levels Sink To New Lows Will Buyer Activity Continue Full Strength In January? Maybe Some Townhouse Developments Have Fewer Homeowners (Living In Those Townhouses) Than I Thought Juniper Hill Commons, A Multi-Generational Cohousing Community Is Under Development On Keezletown Road Most Homes Sold Quickly In 2020! Not Much Negotiability In Home Prices In 2020 At Year End, Home Sales Up 13%, Prices Up 10% in 2020 in Harrisonburg, Rockingham County
Have any questions? Contact Scott Rogers at 540-578-0102 or scott@funkhousergroup.com
Based on information from the Harrisonburg-Rockingham Association of REALTORS® or its MLS, for the period Jan 1, 2000 through Jan 28, 2021 (unless otherwise noted).
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